Description: Pooled credit structures
Asset Backed Securities or ABSs are bonds
secured Pools by the stream of principle and
interest repayments from individual loans with
similar or identical structural and sectoral
characteristics issued into the capital
markets. The periodic issuance of ABS permits
the originator of the loans to recapitalize
itself from the capital markets and continue to
originate additional loans. While commercial
banks have always been able to use this
technique for shifting assets off their balance
sheets and as a relatively in-expensive means
of funding, this technique can also be used by
other non-bank institutions which originate
loans, such as mortgage companies,
micro-finance institutions, and the like. This
financial technology got its start decades ago
in the housing sector with the development of
residential mortgage backed securities by
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and has since been
applied at some point or other to virtually
every loan asset class imaginable,
including standard credit card
receivables and, occasionally, for pools of
health care receivables.
Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and
Collateralized Bond Obligations began as
relatively simple pools of corporate
loans or bonds. However, in recent years, the
underlying collateral of CDOs has come to
include any or all manner of ABS transactions,
as well, so many recently-issued CDOs can be
thought of as pools of pools of loans. And in
the last few years, a new class of CDOs
appeared called CDO-Squared transactions: these
CDOs of CDOs can often be pools of pools of
pools of loans.
A single unifying principle in the
development of most ABS and CDO structures is
the creation of layers (“tranches“) of credit
quality, with the highest rated tranches being
protected by structural features such as more
over-collateralization than junior tranches,
and “spread accounts” which capture the
arbitrage profits resulting from the difference
between the interest rates charged on the
underlying loans and the interest rate paid to
investors in the ABS and CDOs. The creation of
two or more tranches also permits those selling
the ABSs and CDOs to access different investor
classes, each with a different risk/reward
profile for same overall transaction. This
ability to target multiple investor classes
means that larger ABS and CDO transactions
won’t have to pay as large a size-related
interest rate premium as they would have had to
do if the same sized deal had only one
tranche/one credit rating.
Complex probabilistic cash flow models using
multi-variate stress testing with “Monte Carlo”
and similar programs have increasingly come to
dominate the credit evaluation, structuring and
credit rating processes. The increasing prowess
of modeling professionals (the “quants” in
financial market parlance) and increasing
computing power at their disposal has permitted
the development of increasingly complex
structures. However, the quality of models of
this kind is entirely dependent on the quality
of data and the accuracy of the model’s
portrayal of the transaction’s legal provisions
with respect to the flow of funds to service
each distinct tranche of debt.
The current ABS and CDO marketplace is in
turmoil due chiefly to the crisis in the
sub-prime, Alt-A and other segments of the
mortgage market, the facts that much of the
data used in the models was suspect due to the
explosive growth in “no-document” mortgages and
over-reliance on FICO scores alone to evaluate
the borrowers’ ability and willingness to pay,
rapidly increasing incidence of outright fraud,
and the fact that the models’ structures
frequently didn’t accurately reflect the legal
structure, especially in cases where events of
default occur and the flow of funds is legally
required to change in response. Despite the
current turmoil, some ABS transactions are
being successfully closed in such
long-established sectors as credit card
receivables and auto loans. Some prime mortgage
and a few Alt A mortgage transactions are also
being successfully underwritten and closed, as
are substantial quantities of Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac mortgage-backed
transactions.
Example 1: ABS of Healthcare receivables
As a general asset class, healthcare
receivables have always presented particular
difficulties for those who sought to pool them
and create ABS transactions for them. In
addition, a major scandal and collapse of one
major firm which had successfully sold several
healthcare receivable transactions, Towers
Financial, made capital markets investors even
more wary starting in the mid-1990’s.
Another scandalous collapse occurred in 2002
with the discovery of major fraud at National
Century Financial Enterprises, which had been
the nation’s largest cash flow lender to
healthcare providers and largest issuer of
health care receivables ABS transactions.
Because federal law and regulations make it
virtually impossible for providers to structure
pools of Medicaid and Medicaid receivables,
these potentially huge sources of collateral
for ABS transactions have been off-limits for a
long time. And other changes in the healthcare
financing environment have been making
Healthcare receivables ABS less and less
attractive as options for hospitals seeking to
manage cash flow as efficiently as possible.
For example, the growing acceptance by
providers of standard consumer credit cards for
payment of the patient portion of procedures
effectively outsourced that segment of each
hospital’s receivables and collection challenge
to the credit card firms. The growth of charity
care reimbursement programs such as those seen
in New jersey, Michigan, Illinois, and other
states, programs to smooth Medicaid payments to
hospitals serving high percentages of
low-income patients, and the development of the
federal Disproportionate Share (DSH) system
have all proven to be helpful alternatives to
selling receivables in managing.
Example 2: Credit card receivables
In very sharp contrast to the specialized
and often very troubled healthcare receivables
ABS sector, the credit card receivables ABS
sector has been a staple of successful ABS
issuance since their development and successful
introduction in 1987. This structure is now
used throughout the developed world and is
being seen increasingly in the emerging
markets, as well.
ABS backed by credit card receivables are
issued out of trusts that have evolved over
time from discrete trusts to various types of
master trusts of which the most common is the
de-linked master trust. Discrete trusts consist
of a fixed or static pool of receivables that
are tranched
into senior/subordinated bonds. A master trust
has the advantage of offering multiple deals
out of the same trust as the number of
receivables grows, each of which is entitled to
a pro-rata share of all of the receivables. The
de-linked structures allow the issuer to
separate the senior and subordinate series
within a trust and issue them at different
points in time. The latter two structures allow
investors to benefit from a larger pool of
loans made over time rather than one static
pool.
Tie to Specific Leverage Point
Speaks to multiple leverage
points.
- Potential of new alliances to create risk pooling or collective purchasing/action
- As entities explore ideas such as
non-profit medical credit, they could find
interesting new partners, e.g. those with
compassionate credit to invest in equity or
mezzanine tranches of medical credit card
receivables
transactions.
- Risk sharing at the micro level balanced against risk management at macro level
- Philanthropic and other forms of compassionate capital could drive a new paradigm for medical credit risk evaluation and risk transfer to both the compassionate capital markets and conventional capital markets, at the macro level